Why read AI predictions from not-Sam-Altman and not-AI-PhD? Well, early stage VCs spend their days working with people far smarter than us who use AI at the bleeding edge of what’s possible. This allows us to see a version of what the future could hold. 

In my 30-plus years in tech, I have never seen a technology — specifically the advancements in and around foundation models — have this much impact in this many ways, this quickly. It’s reframed my expectations of how teams build and how companies deliver value. 

That in mind, here are my predictions for 2025.

We attempt AI containment

I love Mustafa Suleyman’s digital species corollary for AI because it properly frames the question of containment. Much of present-day AI in products suggests courses of action. But increasingly, AI will take actions on our behalf. We must frame what we don’t want it to do. 

Expect a lot of loud cage rattling in this area. If we use California’s failed SB1047 legislation as a bellwether, Elon Musk’s pro-regulation and Trump’s anti-regulation stances will be offsetting penalties. Look for things like Anthropic’s constitution model on steroids as the industry attempts “self-regulation” for foundation model safety to avoid government regulation. Likewise, expect a flourishing of AI security startups to help with forms of cyber containment.

Foundation models as brand DNA

Some of you may remember the days of “Intel Inside” as a big campaign. Foundation models will accrue brand power to products building on them. This goes beyond tone of voice, which, according to Claude, looks like this today: 

• GPT-4: The premium, measured consultant.
• Claude: The careful, ethical advisor.
• Llama: The scrappy, flexible generalist.

Tone is tunable. How understanding and recall is applied in a model is not. Models will inevitably shape how products “feel.”

AI for the Nobel

Not quite, but the ability to iterate in scientific discovery will increase massively. Today, AI enables breakthroughs together with humans. I agree with Vinod Khosla on this: AI scientists — AI agents that are hyper-specialists — will soon regularly best their human counterparts in discovering insights. 

This is because AI scientists don’t need breaks. They have infinite patience for iteration. They have perfect memory for data. And they can work 24/7. Look to see the first glimpses of this relentless work ethic in medical discovery and healthcare breakthroughs, with a slew of startups helping companies take advantage of them.

Audio interfaces redefine ‘hands-free’

If Alexa, Siri and Google Assistant were all v1.0 audio interfaces, audio — with the additional context of visuals and text — will spin up whole new product experiences that recalibrate our standards. 

Specialized audio-only foundation models are racing with the larger foundation models to push what’s possible here. We’re already seeing huge progress in Meta’s Smart Glasses and how far they’ve come from Google Glass. ‘Hands-free’ operation will have a whole new meaning — and expectations.

We cross the trust tipping point with gen AI

I have a good sense of direction. It only took getting stuck in a few traffic jams I didn’t know about — but my mapping app did — before I capitulated, finally trusting that mapping apps know routes better than I do. 

The same will happen with generative AI outputs. Right now, experts still eke out superior results. That gap will close, and we’ll capitulate to more of gen AI’s outputs, assuming they’re at least on par and sometimes better than even experts. They’ll get credit in the same way we cite those we quote. Case in point: See the brand section of this article.

We pay a premium for hand-craftsmanship

With the threshold for creation being lower — Dall-E and a slew of other tools create new designs in seconds — non-digital goods with evidence of human creation will increase in value. Think of original photography or visual design, but also that ceramic mug crafted by an artist, not stamped out by a robot in a factory.

My adult kids marvel at VCRs and love vinyl, but this is beyond vintage being cool. In a world that is so digital, analog and physical become meaningful in ways that will surprise, especially for the Gen Z and Gen Alpha set.

‘Humans found here’

A lot of my friends love Waymo because it doesn’t require them to talk to anyone. But when push comes to shove, the ability to interact with a human who can exercise judgment not based on black-box logic is important. Which approach — AI or human-forward — has more value will become a dividing line.

Expect to see backlash in areas like customer service where the rush to AI will frustrate many. Humans-in-the-loop will be viewed as preferable to fully autonomous systems. Companies (and consumers) will promote and value the distinction.

What a year…

I’m ending 2024 humbled and expecting a lot of chaos in 2025. But I’m an optimist and take heart in the fact that I remain surrounded by really smart people trying to build great companies and make things better. Wishing you humility, joy and a whole lot of grace in the year to come. 

Martina Lauchengco is a partner at Costanoa Ventures.